کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
976687 933147 2010 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Stock markets and criticality in the current economic crisis
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات فیزیک ریاضی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Stock markets and criticality in the current economic crisis
چکیده انگلیسی

We show that the current economic crisis has led the market to exhibit a non-critical behavior. We do so by analyzing the quantitative parameters of time series from the main assets of the Brazilian Stock Market BOVESPA. By monitoring global persistence we show a deviation of power law behavior during the crisis in a strong analogy with spin systems (from where this concept was originally conceived). Such behavior is corroborated by an emergent heavy tail of absolute return distribution and also by the magnitude autocorrelation exponent. Comparisons with universal exponents obtained in the international stock markets are also performed. This suggests how a thorough analysis of suitable exponents can bring a possible way of forecasting market crises characterized by non-criticality.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 389, Issue 23, 1 December 2010, Pages 5460–5467
نویسندگان
, , , ,