کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
976717 | 933148 | 2007 | 8 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Equity prices as a simple harmonic oscillator with noise
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
فیزیک ریاضی
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چکیده انگلیسی
The centred return on the London Stock Exchange's FTSE All Share Index is modelled as a simple harmonic oscillator with noise over the period from 1 January, 1994 until 30 June 2006. Our empirical results are compatible with the hypothesis that there is a period in the FTSE All Share Index of between two and two and one half years. This means the centred return will on average continue to increase for about a year after reaching the minimum in its oscillatory cycle; alternatively, it will continue on average to decline for about a year after reaching a maximum. Our analysis also shows that there is potential to exploit the harmonic nature of the returns process to earn abnormal profits. Extending our analysis to the low energy states of a quantum harmonic oscillator is also suggested.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 382, Issue 2, 15 August 2007, Pages 557-564
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 382, Issue 2, 15 August 2007, Pages 557-564
نویسندگان
Ali Ataullah, Mark Tippett,