کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
979274 | 933333 | 2010 | 8 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A reflexive toy-model for financial market
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
فیزیک ریاضی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
We propose a reflexive toy model for market dynamics, based on the idea that existing reflexive loops are generated by the conviction, shared by many market operators, that a certain price follows a certain model. Their trading behaviour will therefore increase the probability that the model predictions are in fact fulfilled. We analytically write the equations generating a reflexive loop stemming from a simple linear regression model, and we show that the resulting toy model yields a peculiar intermittent behavior. The presence of two unstable fixed points is apparent from our numerical calculation and the residence-time distribution density in these points asymptotically follows an inverse-power-law tail. The exponent of this tail, as well as the scaling properties of the model output, are close to those stemming from real-price time series.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 389, Issue 2, 15 January 2010, Pages 315-322
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 389, Issue 2, 15 January 2010, Pages 315-322
نویسندگان
Luigi Palatella,