کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
10223370 1701026 2018 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Malaria incidences in South Africa linked to a climate mode in southwestern Indian Ocean
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
شیوع مالاریا در آفریقای جنوبی با شرایط آب و هوایی در جنوب غربی اقیانوس هند مرتبط است
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم محیط زیست بوم شناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
Millions of individuals are at risk of malaria infection in sub-Saharan Africa. Compared to other highly affected countries on the continent, South Africa has an excellent record of malaria control. Nevertheless, the northeastern districts of the country, neighboring some of the worst malaria affected regions in southern Africa, still experience seasonal malaria outbreaks particularly during the summer months of September-February. The year to year variations of the malaria outbreaks in southern Africa, as in many other parts of the world, are often linked to interannual variations in rainfall and temperature. These meteorological factors in turn are seen to be associated with large-scale climate phenomena such as El Niño/La Niña. Here, we present evidence of a new mode of climate variation in the Indian Ocean that could explain the interannual variation of malaria incidences in South Africa. This phenomenon appeared as a dipolar association in the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies of southwestern Indian Ocean. Both poles of the dipole strongly correlated with the malaria incidence index of Vhembe district, one of South Africa's highest malaria-affected districts. The identified correlations were stronger than those found with other climate phenomena such as El Niño/La Niña and Indian Ocean Dipole. A decadal shift in the SST dipole pattern was also observed, and the associated decrease in seasonal rainfall could partly explain the recent reduction in malaria cases.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Environmental Development - Volume 27, September 2018, Pages 47-57
نویسندگان
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