Models of settlement hierarchy based on partial evidence

The modelling of past settlement and landscape structure from incomplete evidence is a well-established archaeological agenda. This paper highlights a model of spatial interaction and settlement evolution that has long been popular in urban geography and which was first applied to model historical settlement hierarchies some twenty-five years ago, but whose use since then for archaeological purposes has been very limited. Via a case study from Bronze Age Crete, we extend the analytical range of this model by suggesting ways in which it can (a) remain effective in the presence of missing data, (b) be given a stronger grounding in the physical landscape, and/or (c) be used to consider the evolutionary trajectory of settlements and physical routes over time.

► Prediction of Bronze Age Cretan settlement hierarchy from location-only data.
► Point process and spatial interaction models combined with Monte Carlo methods.
► Consideration of realistic travel times and multiple shortest paths.
► Model of the joint evolution of path and place hierarchies.