کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
10370823 876520 2011 15 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Fuzzy neural networks for water level and discharge forecasting with uncertainty
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر نرم افزار
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Fuzzy neural networks for water level and discharge forecasting with uncertainty
چکیده انگلیسی
The application of the model to two specific cases and a comparison of the results with those provided by other data-driven models - Bayesian neural networks (Neal, 1992) and the Local Uncertainty Estimation Model (Shrestha and Solomatine, 2006) - show its effectiveness in estimating water levels or discharges under uncertainty. The fuzzy neural network enables us to define bands that are expected to contain given percentages of forecasted level/discharge values for each lead time selected; an analysis of the results obtained reveals that these bands (e.g., 99%, 95% and 90% uncertainty bands) generally have a slightly smaller width compared to the bands obtained using other data-driven models.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Environmental Modelling & Software - Volume 26, Issue 4, April 2011, Pages 523-537
نویسندگان
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