Regional model assessments of forest fire risks in the Asian part of Russia under climate change

Presented are the results from analyzing the changes in the fire danger conditions in the Asian part of Russia within the context of prospective climate change in the 21st century. It is found that with a rise in temperature, a substantial influence on the general increase of fire danger is exerted by the distribution function of precipitation. With general warming by the end of the 21st century, the middle and subtropical latitudes will see, along with increasing fire danger risk, an extension of the fire-hazardous period, whereas the high latitudes will undergo more limited changes in the risk.