کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1066767 1485954 2013 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Design of a severe climate change early warning system
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات علم هواشناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Design of a severe climate change early warning system
چکیده انگلیسی

A skillful early detection and warning system for severe and/or abrupt climate change would benefit both adaptation and preparedness. But what would a severe climate change early warning system look like? Important characteristics of dangerous climate shifts, like rate of onset, intensity, spatial distribution, and predictability, are little known but are the subject of growing research efforts. Some ad hoc forms of climate early warnings are already emerging, and attention now to lessons, positive and negative, from existing hazard warning systems would seem prudent. The nature of warnings for hazards like hurricanes, volcanoes, and asteroids is examined for lessons relevant to a climate change early detection and warning system. An initial analysis of the relationships among lead time, warning, and response for different profiles of severe and abrupt climate change is offered.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Weather and Climate Extremes - Volume 2, December 2013, Pages 31–38
نویسندگان
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