کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
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1087651 | 951542 | 2012 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
SummaryObjectivesTo obtain a better understanding of existing research evidence towards the development of climate-driven malaria early warning systems (MEWS) through critical review of published literature in order to identify challenges and opportunities for future research.Study DesignLiterature review.MethodsA comprehensive search of English literature published between 1990 and 2009 was conducted using the electronic bibliographic database, PubMed. Only studies that explored the associations between environmental and meteorological covariates, El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and malaria as the basis for developing, testing or implementing MEWS were considered.ResultsIn total, 35 relevant studies revealed that the development of functional climate-based MEWS remains a challenge, partly due to the complex web of causality and partly due to the use of imprecise malaria data, spatially and temporally varying covariate data, and different analytical approaches with divergent underlying assumptions. Nevertheless, high resolution spatial and temporal data, innovative analytical tools, and new and automated approaches for early warning and the development of operational MEWS.ConclusionsFuture research should exploit these opportunities and incorporate the various aspects of MEWS for functional epidemic forecasting systems to be realized.
Journal: Public Health - Volume 126, Issue 11, November 2012, Pages 909–919