کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
270282 504744 2009 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Time series study of the impact of serious fires on fire occurrence statistics in cities of Jiangsu
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه سایر رشته های مهندسی مهندسی عمران و سازه
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Time series study of the impact of serious fires on fire occurrence statistics in cities of Jiangsu
چکیده انگلیسی

In this paper, the time series method is used to analyze the effect of fire disasters and serious fires on monthly fire occurrence statistics in 10 cities from January 1997 to December 2001 in Jiangsu province. After removal of outliers in the irregular component of the original data series and seasonal adjustments, the intervention model is applied to quantify the effect of the fire disasters and serious fires on the total monthly fire statistics in the cities of Jiangsu province. The results show that the impact on monthly fires lasts for 3 months for eight cities and 2 months for two cities. Other phenomena are also detected in these 10 cities. Finally, some explanations for these phenomena are proposed.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Fire Safety Journal - Volume 44, Issue 7, October 2009, Pages 925–932
نویسندگان
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