کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4617287 1339376 2012 10 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A periodic age-structured epidemic model with a wide class of incidence rates
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات آنالیز ریاضی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
A periodic age-structured epidemic model with a wide class of incidence rates
چکیده انگلیسی

In this paper, a time-delayed epidemic model is formulated to describe the dynamics of seasonal diseases with age structure. By the method of the spectral radius of an integral operator, we define the basic reproduction number (R0R0) of the model. It is shown that the disease is uniformly persistent and there exists at least one positive periodic state when R0>1R0>1 while the disease will die out if R0<1R0<1. The presented case study not only confirms the theoretical results, but also demonstrates that the epidemic peak is very sensitive to the maturation period and the magnitude of seasonality, which is different from the dynamics of the model without considering age heterogeneities. These findings contribute to better understanding the epidemiological properties of the disease with age structure.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications - Volume 393, Issue 2, 15 September 2012, Pages 367–376
نویسندگان
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