کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5063806 1476699 2017 15 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Downscaling heterogeneous household outcomes in dynamic CGE models for energy-economic analysis
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Downscaling heterogeneous household outcomes in dynamic CGE models for energy-economic analysis
چکیده انگلیسی
Downscaling methods for dynamic computable general equilibrium models are developed and analyzed. The methods produce outcomes for a variety of different household types by downscaling the aggregate quantities from an economic growth model with a representative household. This approach uses household survey data and long-term population projections for different household types to compare the performance of the downscaling methods vs. a general equilibrium model with multiple household groups under a variety of conditions, including demographic change, technological change, and a carbon tax. Both recursive-dynamic and forward-looking downscaling methods produce results that approximate well a multiple household model run. The recursive-dynamic downscaling method is applied to an illustrative example estimating impacts of a carbon tax on aggregate CO2 emissions and the energy demand of different household groups for a middle of the road development scenario.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Economics - Volume 65, June 2017, Pages 87-97
نویسندگان
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