کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5088491 1478314 2015 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Trend definition or holding strategy: What determines the profitability of candlestick charting?
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تعریف روند یا استراتژی برگزاری: چه چیزی سودآوری نمودار شمعدانی را تعیین می کند؟
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی
We ask what determines the profitability of candlestick trading strategies. Is it the definition of trend and/or the holding strategy that one uses in candlestick charting analysis? To answer this, we systematically consider three definitions of trend and four holding strategies. Applying candlestick trading strategies to the DJIA component data, we find that regardless of which definition of trend is used, eight three-day reversal patterns with a Caginalp-Laurent holding strategy are profitable when we set the transaction cost at 0.5% and after we account for data-snooping bias, while the patterns with a Marshall-Young-Rose holding strategy are not profitable. For sensitivity analysis, we also find that our results are not qualitatively changed on a lower transaction cost of 0.1%, or when we conduct the subsample analyses based on three equal periods and three distinct market conditions. When considering a more volatile market, evidence in favor of candlestick trading strategies is strengthened.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance - Volume 61, December 2015, Pages 172-183
نویسندگان
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