کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5091047 | 1375658 | 2010 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The predictive power of the implied volatility of options traded OTC and on exchanges
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
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چکیده انگلیسی
This paper investigates the efficiency of stock index options traded over-the-counter (OTC) and on the exchanges in Hong Kong and Japan. Our findings suggest that implied volatility is superior to either historical volatility or a GARCH-type volatility forecast in predicting future volatility in both the OTC and exchange markets. This paper is also one of the first to compare the predictive power of the implied volatility of stock index options traded OTC to that of exchange-traded stock index options. Our evidence suggests that the OTC market is more efficient than the exchanges in Japan, but that the opposite is true in Hong Kong.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance - Volume 34, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 1-11
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance - Volume 34, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 1-11
نویسندگان
Wayne W. Yu, Evans C.K. Lui, Jacqueline W. Wang,