Estimating total discharged volume in uncontrolled oil wells

We validated the model with various published results related to Gulf of Mexico's Macondo oil spill in a probabilistic frame. Overall, combining the physical model with distributions of uncertain parameters enabled us to depict the risk picture of the uncontrolled wellbore flow events. This approach led to volumetric estimation of the spilled volume. The statistical design of experiments aided in the analysis of the discharged volume range assessed by others in the Macondo case study. The results suggest that good agreement is in hand when compared with the previous deterministic solutions.