کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
567734 876141 2009 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Predictions of typhoon storm surge in Taiwan using artificial neural networks
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر نرم افزار
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Predictions of typhoon storm surge in Taiwan using artificial neural networks
چکیده انگلیسی

Accurate predictions of storm surge and surge deviation are essential for industrial activities in coastal areas. Usually numerical hydrodynamic models or empirical methods are used to estimate the storm surge. This paper proposes an alternative back-propagation neural network (BPN) approach to forecast the storm surge and surge deviation. The prediction of storm surge from a previous typhoon is used as a training set to form predictions for the next event. Wind velocity, wind direction, atmospheric pressure and astronomical tide were selected as inputs in the neural network. The observations obtained during three typhoons from four stations in Taiwan were used to illustrate performance of the BPN model. Comparisons with numerical methods indicate that the storm surge and surge deviation can be efficiently predicted using BPN.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Advances in Engineering Software - Volume 40, Issue 11, November 2009, Pages 1200–1206
نویسندگان
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