کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5761182 | 1624434 | 2017 | 14 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Climate change effects on leaf rust of wheat: Implementing a coupled crop-disease model in a French regional application
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
اثرات تغییرات آب و هوا بر زنگ برگ گندم: اجرای یک مدل بیماری زراعی در یک برنامه منطقه ای فرانسه
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک
علوم زراعت و اصلاح نباتات
چکیده انگلیسی
The calibration and evaluation of STICS-MILA revealed a high sensitivity to the initial amount of primary inoculum (a forcing variable in STICS-MILA) and thus the need to properly simulate the summering and overwintering pathogen survival. The simulations in the context of future climate showed a significant change in host-pathogen synchronism: in the far future, according to RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, disease onset is expected to occur not only with an advance of around one month but also at an earlier developmental stage of wheat crops. This positive effect results from rising temperatures, nevertheless partly counter-balanced during spring by lower wetness frequency. The crop growth accelerates during juvenile stages, providing a greater support for disease development. The resulting microclimate shortens latency periods and increases infection and sporulation efficiencies, thus causing more infectious cycles. An increase of final disease severity is thus forecasted with climate change.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: European Journal of Agronomy - Volume 90, October 2017, Pages 53-66
Journal: European Journal of Agronomy - Volume 90, October 2017, Pages 53-66
نویسندگان
Julie Caubel, Marie Launay, Dominique Ripoche, David Gouache, Samuel Buis, Frédéric Huard, Laurent Huber, François Brun, Marie Odile Bancal,