Assessment of strain effect of strong-motion (focus) zones of earthquakes on earth's surface displacement

Strain effect of focal zones on fore-seismic displacements of earth's surface is studied in the paper for real conditions of focus zones of the earthquakes. The width of the interval of maximum displacements is determined by the conditions of potential focus of tectonic earthquake. The solution of elastic problem for half-space with soft inclusion is used. Calculations are conducted also by empirical formulas, obtained for similar stress states. Possible radius of the zone of maximum revelation of strain anomaly is determined on the basis of the growth of rupture scale and change in heterogeneity volume. It is shown that obtained expression covers a wider range of magnitude variations with consideration of the interval of scale change in upcoming rupture-forming zone. In the example of Tashkent (1966) and Gazli (1984) strong ground motions, an analysis of possible strains occurrence on the Earth's surface was conducted.