کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5788609 | 1414258 | 2017 | 6 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Two centuries of April-July temperature change in southeastern China and its influence on grain productivity
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
دو قرن تغییر دما در آوریل و ژوئیه در جنوب شرقی چین و تأثیر آن بر بهره وری دانه
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کلمات کلیدی
درجه حرارت، بهره وری دانه، اختلال اجتماعی، چین، حلقه های درخت،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
شیمی
شیمی (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی
China is a traditional agriculture based country and one main region for crop production is southeastern China where temperature is a dominant climate variable affecting agriculture. Temperature and social disturbances both influence crop production, yet distinguishing their relative impacts is difficult due to a lack of reliable, high-resolution historical climatic records before the very recent period. Here we present the first tree-ring based warm-season temperature reconstruction for southeastern China, a core region of the East Asian monsoon, for the past 227Â years. The reconstruction target was April-July mean temperature, and our model explained 60.6% of the observed temperature variance during 1953-2012. Spatial correlation analysis showed that the reconstruction is representative of April-July temperature change over most of eastern China. The reconstructed temperature series agrees well with China-scale (heavily weighted in eastern China) agricultural production index values quite well at decadal timescales. The impacts of social upheavals on food production, such as those in the period 1920-1949, were confirmed after climatic influences were excluded. Our study should help distinguish the influence of social disturbance and warm-season temperature on grain productivity in the core agricultural region of China during the past two centuries.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Science Bulletin - Volume 62, Issue 1, 15 January 2017, Pages 40-45
Journal: Science Bulletin - Volume 62, Issue 1, 15 January 2017, Pages 40-45
نویسندگان
Jiangfeng Shi, Jinbao Li, David D. Zhang, Jingyun Zheng, Shiyuan Shi, Quansheng Ge, Harry F. Lee, Yesi Zhao, Jie Zhang, Huayu Lu,