کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5793280 | 1554170 | 2015 | 17 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Bayesian estimation of the accuracy of the calf respiratory scoring chart and ultrasonography for the diagnosis of bovine respiratory disease in pre-weaned dairy calves
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
برآورد بیزی برای صحت نمودار نمره دهی تنفسی گوساله و سونوگرافی برای تشخیص بیماری تنفسی گاو در گوساله های شیرخوار پیش از بره
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کلمات کلیدی
بیماری تنفسی، کلاس خاموش ذات الریه، تجزیه و تحلیل بیزی، حساسیت، اختصاصی، گوساله ها،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک
علوم دامی و جانورشناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
There is currently no gold standard method for the diagnosis of bovine respiratory disease (BRD) complex in Holstein pre-weaned dairy calves. Systematic thoracic ultrasonography (TUS) has been used as a proxy for BRD, but cannot be directly used by producers. The Wisconsin calf respiratory scoring chart (CRSC) is a simpler alternative, but with unknown accuracy. Our objective was to estimate the accuracy of CRSC, while adjusting for the lack of a gold standard. Two cross sectional study populations with a high BRD prevalence (n = 106 pre-weaned Holstein calves) and an average BRD prevalence (n = 85 pre-weaned Holstein calves) from North America were studied. All calves were simultaneously assessed using CRSC (cutoff used â¥5) and TUS (cutoff used â¥1 cm of lung consolidation). Bayesian latent class models allowing for conditional dependence were used with informative priors for BRD prevalence and TUS accuracy (sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp)) and non-informative priors for CRSC accuracies. Robustness of the model was tested by relaxing priors for prevalence or TUS accuracy. The SeCRSC (95% credible interval (CI)) and SpCRSC were 62.4% (47.9-75.8) and 74.1% (64.9-82.8) respectively. The SeTUS was 79.4% (66.4-90.9) and SpTUS was 93.9% (88.0-97.6). The imperfect accuracy of CRSC and TUS should be taken into account when using those tools to assess BRD status.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 119, Issues 3â4, 1 May 2015, Pages 227-231
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 119, Issues 3â4, 1 May 2015, Pages 227-231
نویسندگان
Sébastien Buczinski, Terri L Ollivett, Nandini Dendukuri,