Impact of microbial ecology on accuracy of surveillance cultures to predict multidrug resistant microorganisms causing ventilator-associated pneumonia

- By moving to a new hospital we detected a change in our local epidemiology.
- We assessed SC accuracy to predict VAP etiology in different microbial ecology settings.
- We checked SC effectiveness whatever was the rate of MDRM.
- SC capacity to increase the rate of appropriate treatment was only present with a high rate of MDRM.

SummaryObjectivesThe objective of this study was to assess surveillance cultures (SC) prediction accuracy in two periods and settings of the same Department with a different microbiological epidemiology (high and low prevalence of multi-drug resistant microorganisms (MDRM)).MethodsProspective and observational study. SC were obtained twice a week in consecutive mechanically ventilated patients. Patients fulfilling VAP criteria were analyzed.Results440 patients were followed up, 71 patients had VAP (50 in period I and 21 in period II). MDRM causing VAP were more prevalent in the first period (48% vs. 19%; p = 0.033). The rate of empirical appropriate treatment in period I was lower than in period II (52% vs.76%; p = 0.031). SC prediction accuracy was similar in the two periods (80% vs. 81%; p = 0.744). However, if antibiotic treatment had been guided by SC, the percentage of appropriate treatment would have increased by 28% in the first period but only by 5% in the second; p = 0.024.ConclusionsSC were able to predict VAP etiology in 80% of cases regardless the prevalence of MDRM. However, the potential benefit of SC in terms of appropriate empirical treatment could be only observed when MDRM were prevalent.