کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
6312708 | 1619035 | 2016 | 5 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A role for low-order system dynamics models in urban health policy making
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
نقش مدل های دینامیکی سیستم های پایین در سیاست گذاری سیاست های سلامت شهری
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کلمات کلیدی
مشکلات وحشتناک، ارتباط بین رشته ای، مدل های کم نظیر، استعاره مفهومی، ایده های قدرتمند، سیاست بهداشت شهری،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علوم محیط زیست
شیمی زیست محیطی
چکیده انگلیسی
Cities are complex adaptive systems whose responses to policy initiatives emerge from feedback interactions between their parts. Urban policy makers must routinely deal with both detail and dynamic complexity, coupled with high levels of diversity, uncertainty and contingency. In such circumstances, it is difficult to generate reliable predictions of health-policy outcomes. In this paper we explore the potential for low-order system dynamics (LOSD) models to make a contribution towards meeting this challenge. By definition, LOSD models have few state variables (â¤Â 5), illustrate the non-linear effects caused by feedback and accumulation, and focus on endogenous dynamics generated within well-defined boundaries. We suggest that experience with LOSD models can help practitioners to develop an understanding of basic principles of system dynamics, giving them the ability to 'see with new eyes'. Because efforts to build a set of LOSD models can help a transdisciplinary group to develop a shared, coherent view of the problems that they seek to tackle, such models can also become the foundations of 'powerful ideas'. Powerful ideas are conceptual metaphors that provide the members of a policy-making group with the a priori shared context required for effective communication, the co-production of knowledge, and the collaborative development of effective public health policies.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Environment International - Volume 95, October 2016, Pages 93-97
Journal: Environment International - Volume 95, October 2016, Pages 93-97
نویسندگان
Barry Newell, José Siri,