کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6545022 159874 2014 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Simulation of a Swiss wood fuel and roundwood market: An explorative study in agent-based modeling
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
شبیه سازی سوخت چوب سوئیس و بازار گردو: یک مطالعه اکتشافی در مدل سازی مبتنی بر عامل
کلمات کلیدی
مدل سازی مبتنی بر عامل، اقتصاد محاسباتی مبتنی بر عامل، شبیه سازی بازار، بازار سوخت جنگل و چوب، مدیریت جنگل،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک جنگلداری
چکیده انگلیسی
This study discusses the potential of applying agent-based modeling (ABM) to wood markets. A corresponding model of the wood market of a Swiss canton, consisting of a coupled roundwood and wood fuel market, is presented. The model includes wood-producing agents, such as public foresters and private forest owners, roundwood-consuming agents, such as sawmills, different classes of wood fuel consumers, and in-between wood traders. Other important model elements include agent interaction and negotiation, execution and scheduling structures, and agent adaptation mechanisms. Two sets of scenarios demonstrate the model's power for scenario exploration. The first set of scenarios analyzes the effects of an excess and scarce supply of wood on both markets. The second set looks for the optimal number of roundwood agents in the market from the perspective of the various stakeholders involved. Taking a more in-depth view of important design decisions and their pros and cons, this study argues that ABM offers new opportunities for the explorative study of wood markets as a result of these markets' special characteristics.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Forest Policy and Economics - Volume 38, January 2014, Pages 105-118
نویسندگان
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