کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6556322 1422524 2018 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Scenario planning including ecosystem services for a coastal region in South Australia
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
برنامه ریزی سناریو شامل خدمات اکوسیستم برای یک منطقه ساحلی در جنوب استرالیا
کلمات کلیدی
منطقه ساحلی، حفاظت، ارزش اقتصادی، تصمیمات مبتنی بر شواهد، مدیریت منابع، سالمتگرم،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی
Coastal regions provide vital ecosystem services for the human well-being. Rapid economic growth and increasing population in coastal regions is exerting more pressure on coastal environments. Here we develop four plausible scenarios to the year 2050 that address above issues in the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia. Four scenarios were named after their characteristics, Lacuna, Gold Coast SA, Down to Earth, and Green & Gold. Lacuna and Gold Coast SA. Economy declined significantly in Lacuna, whereas, there is highest annual GDP growth (3.5%) in Gold Coast SA, which was closely followed by Green & Gold scenario (3%), GDP under Down to Earth grows at moderate 1.5%. There is highest population growth in Gold Coast SA followed by Green & Gold, Down to Earth and Lacuna. Gold Coast SA scenario led to high inequality as estimated by the Gini co-efficient of 0.45 compared to the current value of 0.33. Ecosystem services declined rapidly under Green & Gold and Lacuna as compared to the other two scenarios. The combination of scenario planning and ecosystem services valuation provides the capacity to guide coastal planning by illustrating enhanced social, environmental and economic benefits.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Ecosystem Services - Volume 31, Part A, June 2018, Pages 194-207
نویسندگان
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