کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6686628 501874 2015 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The research on setting a unified interval of carbon price benchmark in the national carbon trading market of China
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تحقیق در مورد تنظیم یک فاصله واحد قیمت پایه کربن در بازار ملی کربن در چین
کلمات کلیدی
معیار قیمت کربن، تقاضای انرژی، تجزیه حالت تجربی، تعادل کلی محاسباتی، چین،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
چکیده انگلیسی
The prioritized purpose of this dissertation is to put forward a scientific and plausible interval of carbon price benchmark on the unified carbon trading market, of which will be scheduled to be established in the year of 2016. A model named EMD-GARCH that integrated Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) with Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (GARCH) together is presented here in order to forecast the carbon price of the five pilots (Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Guangdong, and Tianjin) in 2016 so as to provide exogenous data for later analysis. For further study, a recursive dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model will be structured to explore the impacts on China's macroeconomics, environmental quality, and energy demand respectively under 8 different simulation scenarios, which are being designed in terms of the aforementioned calculated carbon price outcome. The simulation results illustrate that the unified carbon price policy will exert a comprehensive effect on China in various perspectives that we discussed in this paper. Moreover, regarding the carbon price scenarios, the price level by itself generates a different degree of impacts in improving the environmental quality, decreasing the energy demand, and increasing the macroeconomic growth. Consequently, based on the analysis of those three approaches mix in this study, we suggest the alternative interval of carbon price benchmark in the national unified carbon trading market with a lower bound of 30 yuan/tCO2 to an upper bound of 50 yuan/tCO2.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Applied Energy - Volume 155, 1 October 2015, Pages 728-739
نویسندگان
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