کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6891849 1445342 2018 19 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A non-Markovian SIR network model with fixed infectious period and preventive rewiring
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر علوم کامپیوتر (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
A non-Markovian SIR network model with fixed infectious period and preventive rewiring
چکیده انگلیسی
In the face of disease occurrence, susceptible individuals tend to protect themselves by rewiring their links, i.e., cutting off connection with infected person and switching to contact with healthy ones. Therefore, the adaptive rewiring mechanism is considered in the network epidemic model. Moreover, the infection periods for different diseases do not always follow exponential distributions in the process of disease transmission, which may be of fixed length. Using the idea of age-structure, we establish the susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model for each node and each link, resulting in a delayed non-Markovian SIR pairwise model with fixed infectious period and preventive rewiring, then give the pairwise reproduction number R0p and provide the formula for the final epidemic size by rigorous analysis and tedious computation. The simulation results show that adaptive rewiring inhibits the spread of disease and decreases the size of disease outbreak, while the extension of the infectious period promotes disease transmission. In addition, the numerical simulation results are in good agreement with the stochastic simulation. To our best knowledge, the approach in building our model is novel, the results may provide new insights into the study of the network disease transmission.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Computers & Mathematics with Applications - Volume 75, Issue 11, 1 June 2018, Pages 3884-3902
نویسندگان
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