کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6963744 1452290 2014 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Multi-scale spatial sensitivity analysis of a model for economic appraisal of flood risk management policies
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تجزیه و تحلیل حساسیت فضایی چندگانه یک مدل برای ارزیابی اقتصادی سیاست های مدیریت ریسک سیل
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر نرم افزار
چکیده انگلیسی
We demonstrate the use of sensitivity analysis to rank sources of uncertainty in models for economic appraisal of flood risk management policies, taking into account spatial scale issues. A methodology of multi-scale variance-based global sensitivity analysis is developed, and illustrated on the NOE model on the Orb River, France. The variability of the amount of expected annual flood avoided damages, and the associated sensitivity indices, are estimated over different spatial supports, ranging from small cells to the entire floodplain. Both uncertainty maps and sensitivity maps are produced to identify the key input variables in the NOE model at different spatial scales. Our results show that on small spatial supports, variance of the output indicator is mainly due to the water depth maps and the assets map (spatially distributed model inputs), while on large spatial supports, it is mainly due to the flood frequencies and depth-damage curves (non spatial inputs).
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Environmental Modelling & Software - Volume 60, October 2014, Pages 153-166
نویسندگان
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