کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7375240 1480071 2018 18 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Mean wind speed persistence over China
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
متوسط ​​پایداری سرعت باد بر چین
کلمات کلیدی
متوسط ​​سرعت باد، پایداری طولانی مدت، تجزیه و تحلیل نوسانات تعیین شده، پتانسیل انرژی باد، رفتار پوسته پوسته شدن،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات فیزیک ریاضی
چکیده انگلیسی
The wind speed persistence is an important factor in the assessment of wind energy potential. In this paper, we explore the persistence of Mean Wind Speed (MWS) with many years of record using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) over China. The results illustrate that there exist irregular high-frequency fluctuations for daily MWS anomaly records. Long-term persistence of MWS is found for all meteorological observed sites. We also make some numerical tests in order to verify the significance of long-term persistence by shuffling the data records many times. These facts prove that the MWS anomaly records have long-term persistence over all the stations in China. The mean value 0.64 in DFA-exponents for all stations over China is also obviously higher than the value 0.53 according to interval threshold of 95% confidence level after shuffling the MWS records many times. In addition, the values of scaling exponent vary from station to station over China. Long-term persistence of MWS in spatial distributions seems to be downward trends from east to west China. Many factors may affect long-term persistence of MWS such as southwest monsoon, Tibetan Plateau landform and atmosphere-ocean-land interaction and so on. Possible physical mechanism need further analysis in the future.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 502, 15 July 2018, Pages 211-217
نویسندگان
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