کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7376030 1480077 2018 18 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Statistical analysis of Brazilian electoral campaigns via Benford's law
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تجزیه و تحلیل آماری کمپین های انتخاباتی برزیل از طریق قانون بنفورد
کلمات کلیدی
قانون بنفورد رگرسیون لجستیک، مبارزات انتخاباتی سیاست،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات فیزیک ریاضی
چکیده انگلیسی
The principle of democracy is that the people govern through elected representatives. Therefore, a democracy is healthy as long as the elected politicians do represent the people. We have analyzed data from the Brazilian electoral court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) concerning money donations for the electoral campaigns and the election results. Our work points to two conclusions that combined may be in conflict with the democratic principle: money is the determining factor on whether a candidate is elected or not (opposed to representativeness); secondly, the use of Benford's Law to analyze the declared donations received by the parties and electoral campaigns shows either possible manipulations in the declarations or a significant number of donations that might not have been spontaneous from the donors. The better term that describes Brazil's government system is plutocracy (govern by the wealthy).
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 496, 15 April 2018, Pages 171-188
نویسندگان
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