Using past transitions to inform scenarios for the future of renewable raw materials in the UK

► Two sectors were studies in detail to learn about the dynamics of energy transitions. ► A methodology for linking historical studies with foresight work is presented. ► Interview results from a UK case study on biofuels and biochemicals are discussed. ► Socio-technical dynamics of transitions provide insight for decisions about the future. ► Socio-technical dynamics can be a basis for constructing scenarios to inform policy.