کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
8103516 | 1522143 | 2015 | 34 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Future scenarios and trends in energy generation in brazil: supply and demand and mitigation forecasts
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
سناریوهای آینده و روند تولید انرژی در برزیل: پیش بینی های عرضه و تقاضا و کاهش
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کلمات کلیدی
انرژی قابل تجدید، ماتریس انرژی، برق، انرژی قابل تجدید، ماتریس انرژی، برق،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
انرژی های تجدید پذیر، توسعه پایدار و محیط زیست
چکیده انگلیسی
The structure of the Brazilian energy matrix defines Brazil as a global leader in power generation from renewable sources. In 2011, the share of renewable sources in electricity production reached 88.8%, mainly due to the large national water potential. Although the Brazilian energy model presents a strong potential for expansion, the total energy that could be used with most current renewable technologies often outweighs the national demand. The current composition of the national energy matrix has outstanding participation of hydropower, even though the country has great potential for the exploitation of other renewable energy sources such as wind, solar and biomass. This document therefore refers to the trend of evolution of the Brazilian Energy Matrix and exposes possible mitigation scenarios, also considering climate change. The methodology to be used in the modeling includes the implementation of the LEAP System (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning) program, developed by the Stockholm Environment Institute, which allows us to propose different scenarios under the definition of socioeconomic scenarios and base power developed in the context of the REGSA project (Promoting Renewable Electricity Generation in South America). Results envision future scenarios and trends in power generation in Brazil, and the projected demand and supply of electricity for up to 2030.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Cleaner Production - Volume 103, 15 September 2015, Pages 197-210
Journal: Journal of Cleaner Production - Volume 103, 15 September 2015, Pages 197-210
نویسندگان
José Baltazar Salgueirinho Osório De Andrade Guerra, Luciano Dutra, Norma Beatriz Camisão Schwinden, Suely Ferraz de Andrade,