کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
957019 1478752 2014 17 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Subjective multi-prior probability: A representation of a partial likelihood relation
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
احتمال پیشینی چند پیش فرض: نمایش یک رابطه احتمال جزئی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper deals with an incomplete relation over events. Such a relation naturally arises when likelihood estimations are required within environments that involve ambiguity, and in situations which engage multiple assessments and disagreement among individuals' beliefs. The paper characterizes binary relations over events, interpreted as likelihood relations, that can be represented by a unanimity rule applied to a set of prior probabilities. According to this representation an event is at least as likely as another if and only if there is a consensus among all the priors that this is indeed the case. A key axiom employed is a cancellation condition, which is a simple extension of similar conditions that appear in the literature.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory - Volume 151, May 2014, Pages 476-492
نویسندگان
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