Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Forecast combination; Forecast combination puzzle; Macroeconomic forecasting; Integer programming; European Central Bank; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
مقالات ISI بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای (ترجمه نشده)
مقالات زیر هنوز به فارسی ترجمه نشده اند.
در صورتی که به ترجمه آماده هر یک از مقالات زیر نیاز داشته باشید، می توانید سفارش دهید تا مترجمان با تجربه این مجموعه در اسرع وقت آن را برای شما ترجمه نمایند.
در صورتی که به ترجمه آماده هر یک از مقالات زیر نیاز داشته باشید، می توانید سفارش دهید تا مترجمان با تجربه این مجموعه در اسرع وقت آن را برای شما ترجمه نمایند.
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Forecast evaluation; Survey of professional forecasters; Expert forecast; Trend-cycle decomposition; State space modeling; Baxter-King filter;
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Construction; Greenbook; Housing starts; Multicointegration; Real-time data; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Monetary policy; Survey of professional forecasters; Central bank projections; Inflation and growth forecasts
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; E31; E37; E58Inflation forecast errors; Greenbook forecasts; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Federal Reserve Transparency
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Survey data; Monetary policy; Communication; Taylor rule; Inflation expectations; Michigan Survey; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Forecast performance; Forecast stability; Greenbook forecasts; Survey of Professional Forecasters
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Forecast combination; Forecast evaluation; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Real-time data; Shrinkage; High-dimensional data
Asymptotic variance of Brier (skill) score in the presence of serial correlation
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; C01; C12; C53; Probability forecasts; Serial correlation; Brier score; Brier skill score; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
Inflation uncertainty, disagreement and monetary policy: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; E31; E52; E58; E65; Inflation uncertainty; Disagreement; Density forecast; Central banking; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
Professional forecasters and real-time forecasting with a DSGE model
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Bayesian methods; Real-time data; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Macroeconomic forecasting; Euro area;
Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Forecast combination; Forecast evaluation; Multiple model comparisons; Real-time data; Survey of Professional Forecasters
Evaluating probability forecasts for GDP declines using alternative methodologies
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Binary prediction; Rare events; Survey of professional forecasters; Subjective probability; Calibration; Resolution; Skill score; Relative operating characteristics; Odds ratio; Recession
Predictions of growth in U.S. corporate profits: Asymmetric vs. symmetric loss
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; G17; G30; E52; FOMC; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Unbiasedness; Directional forecast accuracy; Loss structure;
Forecast errors before and during the Great Moderation
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; E32; E37Great Moderation; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Forecast errors
Forecast combination through dimension reduction techniques
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Combining forecasts; Factor analysis; PLS; Principal components; SIR; Survey of Professional Forecasters
Federal Reserve and private forecasts of growth in investment
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; E22; E27; E52Asymmetric information hypothesis; Monetary policy; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Directional accuracy; Symmetric and asymmetric loss
Kernel-based calibration diagnostics for recession and inflation probability forecasts
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Calibration; Kernel regression; Probability forecast; Real-time data; Survey of Professional Forecasters
The C-CAPM without ex post data
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; G12; E130; E320; Equity premium puzzle; Livingston survey; S&P 500 options; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
Why disagreement may not matter (much) for asset prices
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; C42; G12; G13; E44; Equity premium; Riskfree rate; Implied volatility; Survey of Professional Forecasters;
Are the Fed's inflation forecasts still superior to the private sector's?
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; E37; Forecasting inflation; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Blue Chip forecasts; Greenbook forecasts; Naïve forecasts;
Bias in Federal Reserve inflation forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve irrational or just cautious?
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; C53; E52; Forecast evaluation; Monetary policy; Real-time data; Survey of professional forecasters;
Non-fundamental expectations and economic fluctuations: Evidence from professional forecasts
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; C32; E32; Non-fundamental expectations; Sunspots; Economic fluctuations; Survey of professional forecasters; Vector autoregressions;
Is there evidence of pessimism and doubt in subjective distributions? Implications for the equity premium puzzle
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; C42; G12; E44; Equity premium; Riskfree rate; Aggregation of beliefs; Survey of professional forecasters; Livingston survey;
A framework for decomposing shocks and measuring volatilities derived from multi-dimensional panel data of survey forecasts
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Panel data; Shocks; Volatility; Multidimensional; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Inflation; Rationality; Error measures; Evaluating forecasts; Inflation forecasting; Volatility forecasting
Is monetary policy important for forecasting real growth and inflation?
Keywords: بررسی پیشگامان حرفه ای; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Monetary policy; Forecast accuracy;