Resolution and uniqueness of estimated parameters of a model of thin filament regulation in solution

The estimation of chemical kinetic rate constants for any non-trivial model is complex due to the nonlinear effects of second order chemical reactions. We developed an algorithm to accomplish this goal based on the Damped Least Squares (DLS) inversion method and then tested the effectiveness of this method on the McKillop–Geeves (MG) model of thin filament regulation. The kinetics of MG model is defined by a set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that predict the evolution of troponin–tropomyosin–actin and actin–myosin states. The values of the rate constants are estimated by integrating these ODEs numerically and fitting them to a series of stopped-flow pyrene fluorescence transients of myosin-S1 fragment binding to regulated actin in solution. The accuracy and robustness of the estimated rate constants are evaluated for DLS and two other methods, namely quasi-Newton (QN) and simulated annealing (SA). The comparison of these methods revealed that SA provides the best estimates of the model parameters because of its global optimization scheme. However it converges slowly and does quantify the uniqueness of the estimated parameters. On the other hand the QN method converges rapidly but only if the initial guess of the parameters is close to the optimum values, otherwise it diverges. Overall, the DLS method proves to be the most convenient method. It converges fast and was able to provide excellent estimates of kinetic parameters. Furthermore, DLS provides the model resolution matrix, which quantifies the interdependence of model parameters thereby evaluating the uniqueness of their estimated values. This property is essential for estimating of the dependence of the model parameters on experimental conditions (e.g. Ca2+ concentration) when it is assessed from noisy experimental data such as pyrene fluorescence from stopped-flow transients. The advantages of the DLS method observed in this study should be further examined in other physicochemical systems to firmly establish the observed effectiveness of DSL vs. the other parameter estimation methods.