کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1721574 1014517 2007 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه سایر رشته های مهندسی مهندسی دریا (اقیانوس)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height
چکیده انگلیسی

This paper considers the problem of estimating long-term predictions of significant wave-height. A method which combines Bayesian methodology and extreme value techniques is adopted. Inferences are based on the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm implemented in an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme. The method is applied to obtain return values of extreme values of significant wave height collected on the northern North Sea. The results are compared with those obtained by Guedes Soares and Scotto [Guedes Soares, C. and Scotto, M.G., 2004. Application of the r-order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave heights. Coastal Engineering, 51, 387–394].

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Coastal Engineering - Volume 54, Issue 5, May 2007, Pages 393–400
نویسندگان
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