Assessment of metastatic risk of gastric GIST based on treatment-naïve CT features

ObjectiveTo study whether the CT features of treatment-naïve gastric GIST may be used to assess metastatic risk.MethodsIn this IRB approved retrospective study, with informed consent waived, contrast enhanced CT images of 143 patients with pathologically confirmed treatment-naïve gastric GIST (74 men, 69 women; mean age 61 years, SD ± 14) were reviewed in consensus by two oncoradiologists blinded to clinicopathologic features and clinical outcome and morphologic features were recorded. The metastatic spread was recorded using available imaging studies and electronic medical records (median follow up 40 months, interquartile range, IQR, 21–61). The association of maximum size in any plane (≤10 cm or >10 cm), outline (smooth or irregular/lobulated), cystic areas (≤50% or >50%), exophytic component (≤50% or >50%), and enhancing solid component (present or absent) with metastatic disease were analyzed using univariate (Fisher's exact test) and multivariate (logistic regression) analysis.ResultsMetastatic disease developed in 42 (29%) patients (28 at presentation, 14 during follow-up); 23 (16%) patients died. On multivariate analysis, tumor size >10 cm (p = 0.0001, OR 9.9), irregular/lobulated outline (p = 0.001, OR 5.6) and presence of a enhancing solid component (p < 0.0001, OR 9.1) were independent predictors of metastatic disease. On subgroup analysis, an irregular/lobulated outline and an enhancing solid component were more frequently associated with metastases in tumors ≤5 cm and >5–≤10 cm (p < 0.05).ConclusionCT morphologic features can be used to assess the metastatic risk of treatment-naïve gastric GIST. Risk assessment based on pretreatment CT is especially useful for patients receiving neoadjuvant tyrosine kinase inhibitors and those with tumors <5 cm in size.