Year-class coexistence in biennial plants

I extend the well known and biologically well motivated Skellam model of plant population dynamics to biennial plants. The model has two attractors: either one year class competitively excludes the other, resulting in 2-cycles with only vegetative vs only flowering plants in alternating years, or the two year classes coexist at an interior equilibrium. Contrary to earlier models, these two attractors can exist also simultaneously. I investigate the robustness of the model by including delayed flowering, a common phenomenon in plants, and provide a full numerical bifurcation analysis of the generalized model. High fecundity implies strong competition within year classes and promotes coexistence, whereas high survival results in strong competition between year classes and promotes competitive exclusion. Delayed flowering tends to stabilize the interior equilibrium, but (unlike in density-independent matrix models) the population cycles are robust with respect to some delay in flowering.

► The Skellam model is extended to biennial plants.
► Competitive exclusion of a year class and multiple attractors occur.
► Population cycles occur when fecundity is low.