کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
4673456 | 1346867 | 2007 | 23 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
There is a well-known sequence of constants cn describing the growth of supercritical Galton–Watson processes Zn. By lower deviation probabilities we refer to P(Zn=kn) with kn=o(cn) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of the asymptotic behavior of such lower deviation probabilities. This complements and corrects results known from the literature concerning special cases. Knowledge on lower deviation probabilities is needed to describe large deviations of the ratio Zn+1/Zn. The latter are important in statistical inference to estimate the offspring mean. For our proofs, we adapt the well-known Cramér method for proving large deviations of sums of independent variables to our needs.
RésuméLes auteurs présentent une analyse détaillée des probabilités de déviations inférieures. Ces dernières sont nécessaires à la description du rapport Zn+1/Zn.
Journal: Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincare (B) Probability and Statistics - Volume 43, Issue 2, March–April 2007, Pages 233-255