Numerical assessment of the maximum operating pressure for SAGD projects by considering the intrinsic shale anisotropy

Existing numerical models for evaluating the integrity of caprocks during thermal operations employ isotropic constitutive laws. These models are believed to be deficient in capturing strongly anisotropic response of shales and mudstones. The research described in this paper incorporated elasto-plastic shale anisotropy in the caprock failure analysis model for the first time. This study demonstrates the importance of capturing shale anisotropy in the accurate prediction of caprock breach pressure in SAGD projects.