The impact of synoptic circulation on air quality and pollution-related human health in the Yangtze River Delta region

- A synoptic circulation catalogue is developed for YRD via Lamb weather type method.
- Associations between circulation types and air quality parameters are investigated.
- For the first time the polluted synoptic circulation types are identified from health perspective.

PM2.5 and O3 pollution are of concern for the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region due to their adverse impact on human health. In conjunction with a complex distribution of emission sources, the synoptic circulation conditions control the temporal and spatial variability of air pollution levels and hence the pollution-related health burdens. In this study, a long-term synoptic circulation catalogue is developed by applying the automated Lamb weather type method to the ECMWF mean sea level pressure reanalysis for the YRD region during 2013-2016. Ten typical circulation types are examined in relation to the transport pathways and diffusion conditions, and then multi-site surface observations of PM2.5 and O3 are composited for different circulation conditions. The results show that each circulation type is characterized with distinct air mass origin, diffusion condition and air quality level. The anticyclonic type (Type A) corresponds to the highest regional PM2.5 concentration (68.5 μg/m3) due to the subsidence flow and long-range transport, while the westerly types (Types SW, W and NW) correspond to the higher regional maximum daily 8-h running average O3 (MDA8 O3) concentration (> 100 μg/m3) due to favorable local meteorological conditions. Regional transport causes an east-high and west-low PM2.5 distribution in westerly types but a west-high and east-low PM2.5 distribution in easterly types (Types SE, E and NE). In contrast, nearly all the types show an east-high and west-low O3 distribution, suggesting the predominated impacts of precursor emissions. By using established exposure-response functions, the health impact assessment (HIA) shows that Type W poses the greatest public health risk with mean daily excess mortality of 77.3 (95% CI: 61.9, 92.6) deaths and O3 pollution accounts for approximately 70% of this health burden.

Mean daily excess mortality (MDEM) from air pollution under different weather conditions.64