Prognostic Interplay of Coronary Artery Calcification and Underlying Vascular Dysfunction in Patients With Suspected Coronary Artery Disease

ObjectivesThis study sought to evaluate the interrelation of atherosclerotic burden, as assessed by coronary artery calcium (CAC) score and coronary vascular function, as assessed by quantitative estimates of coronary flow reserve (CFR), with respect to prediction of clinical outcomes.BackgroundThe contribution of coronary vascular dysfunction, atherosclerotic burden, and the 2 combined to cardiac events is unknown.MethodA total of 901 consecutive patients underwent 82Rubidium myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) positron emission tomography (PET) and CAC scan. All patients had normal MPI. The primary endpoint was a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) including cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, late revascularization, and admission for heart failure.ResultsAt baseline, CFR decreased (2.15 ± 0.72, 2.02 ± 0.65, and 1.88 ± 0.64, p < 0.0001) with increasing levels of CAC (0, 1 to 399, and ≥400). Over a median of 1.53 years (interquartile range: 0.77 to 2.44), there were 57 MACE. Annual risk-adjusted MACE rates were higher for patients with CFR <2.0 compared with ≥2.0 (1.9 vs. 5.5%/year, p = 0.0007) but were only borderline associated with CAC (3.1%, 3.4%, and 6.2%/year for CAC of 0, 1 to 399, and ≥400, respectively; p = 0.09). Annualized adjusted MACE was increased in the presence of impaired CFR even among patients with CAC = 0 (1.4% vs. 5.2%, p = 0.03). Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that CFR improved model fit, risk discrimination, and risk reclassification over clinical risk, whereas CAC only modestly improved model fit without improving risk discrimination or reclassification.ConclusionsIn symptomatic patients with normal MPI, global CFR but not CAC provides significant incremental risk stratification over clinical risk score for prediction of major adverse cardiac events.