کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
6372128 | 1319965 | 2013 | 8 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Comparing vector-host and SIR models for dengue transmission
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک
علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Comparing vector-host and SIR models for dengue transmission Comparing vector-host and SIR models for dengue transmission](/preview/png/6372128.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
Various simple mathematical models have been used to investigate dengue transmission. Some of these models explicitly model the mosquito population, while others model the mosquitoes implicitly in the transmission term. We study the impact of modeling assumptions on the dynamics of dengue in Thailand by fitting dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) data to simple vector-host and SIR models using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation. The parameter estimates obtained for both models were consistent with previous studies. Most importantly, model selection found that the SIR model was substantially better than the vector-host model for the DHF data from Thailand. Therefore, explicitly incorporating the mosquito population may not be necessary in modeling dengue transmission for some populations.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Mathematical Biosciences - Volume 246, Issue 2, December 2013, Pages 252-259
Journal: Mathematical Biosciences - Volume 246, Issue 2, December 2013, Pages 252-259
نویسندگان
Abhishek Pandey, Anuj Mubayi, Jan Medlock,