کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6974357 1453328 2017 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Economically optimal strategies for medium-term recovery after a major nuclear reactor accident
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
استراتژی های بهینه اقتصادی برای بهبود درازمدت پس از یک حادثه راکتور بزرگ هسته ای
کلمات کلیدی
تصادف هسته ای، مدل سازی تصادف، کنترل بهینه، اصل بهینه، معادله همیلتون-یعقوبی-بلمن، بهینه بودن اقتصادی،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی شیمی بهداشت و امنیت شیمی
چکیده انگلیسی
The dynamic process of ground contamination after a major nuclear accident is modelled, and the system is then extended to include the transient equations describing the three broad countermeasures: food bans, remediation and population movement (relocation and repopulation). Countermeasures are assumed to be applicable once the deposition period has ended and surface contamination measurements have stabilised. A value function is constructed to account for the major economic factors, including allowance for the detrimental effect on human health of radiation exposure. The principle of optimality is then applied by requiring the value function to satisfy the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman partial differential equation, yielding an economically optimal combination of the countermeasures at any given moment of time within the recovery period. A classification into Broad Strategies is made in order to explore the similarities in structure of optimal strategies for wide ranges of economic parameter values. Population relocation forms no part of any optimal strategy in the Base Case (or Case I) as parameters are varied over a wide range. Strategies incorporating relocation have a low probability of being optimal even in the low-probability sensitivity studies of Case II, where relocation is imposed immediately the accident happens, and Case III, where the Base Case assumption is reversed of lower economic productivity awaiting those moving from the original to the new area. It is concluded that relocation is almost certain to be a less than optimal response after a great many large-scale nuclear accidents.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Process Safety and Environmental Protection - Volume 112, Part A, November 2017, Pages 63-76
نویسندگان
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