کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7155608 1462623 2015 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Pseudo Phase Plane and Fractional Calculus modeling of western global economic downturn
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
مدل فاز شبه فاز و مدل محاسباتی جزیی از رکود اقتصادی جهانی غرب
کلمات کلیدی
هواپیما شبه فاز، مدل سازی سیستم، اقتصاد محاسبه مکرر،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه سایر رشته های مهندسی مهندسی مکانیک
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper applies Pseudo Phase Plane (PPP) and Fractional Calculus (FC) mathematical tools for modeling world economies. A challenging global rivalry among the largest international economies began in the early 1970s, when the post-war prosperity declined. It went on, up to now. If some worrying threatens may exist actually in terms of possible ambitious military aggression, invasion, or hegemony, countries' PPP relative positions can tell something on the current global peaceful equilibrium. A global political downturn of the USA on global hegemony in favor of Asian partners is possible, but can still be not accomplished in the next decades. If the 1973 oil chock has represented the beginning of a long-run recession, the PPP analysis of the last four decades (1972-2012) does not conclude for other partners' global dominance (Russian, Brazil, Japan, and Germany) in reaching high degrees of similarity with the most developed world countries. The synergies of the proposed mathematical tools lead to a better understanding of the dynamics underlying world economies and point towards the estimation of future states based on the memory of each time series.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation - Volume 22, Issues 1–3, May 2015, Pages 396-406
نویسندگان
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