کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7475580 | 1485193 | 2018 | 10 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Uncertainty analysis of industrial energy conservation management in China's iron and steel industry
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تجزیه و تحلیل عدم اطمینان مدیریت حفاظت از انرژی صنعتی در صنعت آهن و فولاد چین
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کلمات کلیدی
تجزیه و تحلیل عدم قطعیت، صنعت آهن و فولاد، حفاظت انرژی، نمونه برداری از لاتین،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
انرژی های تجدید پذیر، توسعه پایدار و محیط زیست
چکیده انگلیسی
There are remarkable uncertainty factors in the industrial sector that enhance the difficulties of setting energy conservation strategies, such as the macro economy, industrial structures, and technical uncertainties. However, current studies simply predict the possible trends or conduct scenario analyses, and neglect uncertainty factors in the management of industrial energy conservation. In response, this article considers China's iron and steel industry as an example and builds the Industrial Energy Conservation Uncertainty Analysis (IECUA) model to recognize and analyze the uncertainty factors via a 200-thousand-time Latin hypercube sampling. Then, we propose some management measures, including setting energy conservation targets and energy conservation strategies. The results show that energy conservation targets should be more flexible than just the predicted values, to enhance the feasibility of their realization. In addition, energy conservation strategies are set at industrial and technique levels. On the one hand, such key parameters as production output, the coke/steel ratio, and pig iron/steel ratio, should be strictly controlled to avoid non-compliance risks. On the other hand, energy conservation technologies can be considered under four quadrants depending on their sensitivity to energy conservation and economic efficiency. Finally, some differentiated technologies promotion suggestions are made, such as economic stimulation, market entry standards and technical application guidelines.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Environmental Management - Volume 225, 1 November 2018, Pages 205-214
Journal: Journal of Environmental Management - Volume 225, 1 November 2018, Pages 205-214
نویسندگان
Zongguo Wen, Yihan Wang, Chenkai Zhang, Xiaoling Zhang,