کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
8139133 1523575 2018 25 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Long-term solar activity studies using microwave imaging observations and prediction for cycle 25
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
مطالعات فعالیت طولانی مدت خورشیدی با استفاده از مشاهدات و پیش بینی های تصویربرداری مایکروویو برای چرخه 25
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات فیزیک زمین (ژئو فیزیک)
چکیده انگلیسی
We use microwave imaging observations from the Nobeyama Radioheliograph at 17 GHz for long-term studies of solar activity. In particular, we use the polar and low-latitude brightness temperatures as proxies to the polar and active-region magnetic fields, respectively. We also use the locations of prominence eruptions as a proxy to the filament locations to study their time variation. We show that the polar microwave brightness temperature is highly correlated with the polar magnetic field strength and the fast solar wind speed. We also show that the polar microwave brightness in one solar cycle is correlated with the low latitude brightness with a lag of about half a solar cycle. We use this correlation to predict the strength of the solar cycle 25: the smoothed sunspot numbers in the southern and northern hemispheres can be predicted as 89 and 59, respectively. These values indicate that cycle 25 will not be too different from cycle 24 in its strength. We also combined the rush-to-the-pole data from Nobeyama prominences with historical data going back to 1860 to study the north-south asymmetry of sign reversal at solar poles. We find that the reversal asymmetry has a quasi-periodicity of 3-5 cycles.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics - Volume 176, September 2018, Pages 26-33
نویسندگان
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