Inventory and modelling for forests in transition from even-aged to uneven-aged management

In plantation forestry, as well as in forests managed according to the single tree selection system (Plenter forest), there are well established methods available to control sustainable management in terms of timber resources. If a shift from even-aged to uneven-aged management is intended, there is usually a lack of a clear, numerically defined aim. Then individual tree growth models help to (i) check if certain aims can be achieved at all and (ii) to define these aims more clearly and numerically, e.g. in terms of structural indices. Regular inventories, based on permanent sample plots, help to determine deviations from these aims. As a feedback of these results, management may be changed or aims may be adjusted. Two forest management districts in Austria were investigated. In one of them, continuous cover forestry was intended where, as soon as regeneration has reached a certain height, the upper layer was removed. In the other case, individual tree harvesting has been performed for 30 years, and a single tree selection system is intended. In both cases, permanent inventories based on angle-count sampling have been installed and re-measured at least once after 10 years. Using the individual tree simulator PrognAus it is shown, that the intended management strategy for the single tree selection system leads to an equilibrium of harvests and growth after about 80 years, accompanied by the intended high structural diversity of the stands, while species diversity and between-stand variation cannot be enhanced by much. In the natural regeneration system without single tree selection, species diversity, structural diversity and between-stand variation is enhanced, but during the 100 years simulated no equilibrium between harvests can be reached. Periods where there is a lack of large timber to be harvested occur regularly. From these examples it is concluded that inventories with permanent sample plots, together with individual tree growth simulators are appropriate tools to evaluate forest management changes.