کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
9620444 159433 2005 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A test for robustness in harvest scheduling models
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک بوم شناسی، تکامل، رفتار و سامانه شناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
A test for robustness in harvest scheduling models
چکیده انگلیسی
Harvest scheduling models are decision support systems used to project sustainable harvest volumes while maintaining social and ecological objectives. We present a robustness test for these projections that measure the possible level of deviation between projection and implementation while still meeting projected target levels. Results using both simulation and optimization models indicate that when using a maximum sustainable volume objective, the projections have very little robustness. Reducing the target volume increases robustness, but with a large cost to the sustainable timber harvest level. Matching the level of uncertainty in the planning environment with corresponding level of robustness in projections is an important factor in creating sustainable forest management plans.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Forest Ecology and Management - Volume 207, Issues 1–2, 7 March 2005, Pages 121-132
نویسندگان
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