Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Density forecasts; Econometric modelling; Evaluating forecasts; Generalized logistic; Industrial production; Nonlinear time series; Point forecasts; Statistical tests; Unemployment;
مقالات ISI ارزیابی پیش بینی ها (ترجمه نشده)
مقالات زیر هنوز به فارسی ترجمه نشده اند.
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در صورتی که به ترجمه آماده هر یک از مقالات زیر نیاز داشته باشید، می توانید سفارش دهید تا مترجمان با تجربه این مجموعه در اسرع وقت آن را برای شما ترجمه نمایند.
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Model selection; Stationarity; Statistical tests; Monte Carlo; Finite sample tests;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Fiscal forecasting; Fiscal responsibility; Forecast accuracy; Public and private forecasters; Evaluating forecasts; Government forecasting;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Long term forecasting; NPV analysis; Realized beta; Systematic risk;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Inflation forecasting; Bayesian methods; Emerging markets; Evaluating forecasts; Inflation predictability; Monetary policy; Central bank independence;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Error measures; Evaluating forecasts; Exponential smoothing; Inventory forecasting; Time series;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Judgmental forecasting; Time series; Forecasting practice; Evaluating forecasts; Forecasting education;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Error measures; Evaluating forecasts; Exponential smoothing; Safety stock; Time series analysis;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Multivariate time series; Loss functions; Evaluating forecasts; Covariance matrix; GARCH models; Model confidence set;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating Forecasts; Government Forecasting; Macroeconomic Forecasts; Forecast Encompassing; Deficit;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; MEM; Regime switching; Robustness; Volatility forecasting;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Surveys; Model selection; Elections; Social media;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Probability forecasting; Demographic forecasting; Evaluating forecasts; Register data; Public finances; Household composition;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Inflation forecasting; Macroeconomic forecasting; Panel data; Surveys;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Macroeconomic forecasting; Rationality; Intuition; Weak-form efficiency; Fixed-event forecasts;
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Realized betas; Systematic risk; Time series; Zero-beta portfolios
Using forecast evaluation to improve the accuracy of the Greenbook forecast
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Forecast efficiency; Adjusting forecasts; Real-time data; The Greenbook forecast;
The predictive accuracy of credit ratings: Measurement and statistical inference
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Ratings; Evaluating forecasts; Accuracy Ratio; Harrell's C; Overlapping lifetimes;
Security analysts, cash flow forecasts, and turnover
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Earnings forecasting; Econometric models; Evaluating forecasts; Forecasting profession; Monitoring forecasts
The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Macroeconomic forecasting; Evaluating forecasts; Combining forecasts; Structural change
Predicting stock volatility using after-hours information: Evidence from the NASDAQ actively traded stocks
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Financial markets; GARCH model; Evaluating forecasts; High-frequency data; Realized variance
Improving forecasting in an emerging economy, South Africa: Changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Sectoral inflation; CPI sub-components; Equilibrium correction models; Evaluating forecasts; Model selection; Multivariate time series; Disaggregation
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Combining forecasts; Evaluating forecasts; Expert judgment; Group decision making; Organizational behavior; Perspective-taking; Role playing; Simulated interaction; Unaided judgment
Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Macroeconomic forecasting; Rationality; Survey data; Fixed-event forecasts
Forecasting monthly and quarterly time series using STL decomposition
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; ARIMA models; Combining forecasts; Decomposition; Evaluating forecasts; Forecasting competitions; Time series
Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Sports forecasting; Loss function; Evaluating forecasts; Rating; Ordered logit
Improving predictive accuracy of exit polls
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Election forecasts; Exit polling; Evaluating forecasts; Survey sampling; Vote-remembering; Vote recall; Spanish elections
Comparing forecast models of Radical Right voting in four European countries (1973–2008)
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Electoral forecast; Radical Right; Evaluating forecasts; Regression; Time series
A hierarchical procedure for the combination of forecasts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Combining forecasts; Econometric models; Evaluating forecasts; Model selection; Time series
DSGE model-based forecasting of non-modelled variables
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Bayesian methods; DSGE models; Econometric models; Evaluating forecasts; Macroeconomic forecasting
Properties of expert adjustments on model-based SKU-level forecasts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Adjusting forecasts; Automatic forecasting; Decision making; Evaluating forecasts; Judgemental forecasting
The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Business cycle forecasting; Inflation forecasting; Consensus forecasts; Bias and efficiency
Forecasting presidential elections: When to change the model
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Adjusting forecasts; Econometric models; Evaluating forecasts; Model selection; Regression
The state of presidential election forecasting: The 2004 experience
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Bellwethers; Combining forecasts; Cut-points; Delphi; Election forecasting; Evaluating forecasts; Indexes; Polls; Prediction markets; Probability forecasting; Regression
Evaluating U.S. presidential election forecasts and forecasting equations
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Evaluating forecasts; Data mining; Econometric models; Forecasting criticism; Voting; Presidential incumbency; Open-seat elections
Prediction market accuracy in the long run
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Combining forecasts; Evaluating forecasts; Financial markets; Election forecasting; Polls; Comparative methods; Automatic forecasting; Calibration; Comparative studies; Long-term forecasting; Election market; Political stock market
Forecasting non-incumbent presidential elections: Lessons learned from the 2000 election
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; 2008 election; Bayesian model averaging; Evaluating forecasts; Successor candidates; Weighting
Combining density forecasts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; C53; E37Density forecasts; Uncertainty; Combining forecasts; Evaluating forecasts; Inflation forecasting
Forecasting of software development work effort: Evidence on expert judgement and formal models
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Judgemental forecasting; Combining forecasts; Comparative studies; Evaluating forecasts; Forecasting practice
On comparing multi-horizon forecasts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; C53; Evaluating forecasts; Forecasting practice; Multi-horizon forecasting;
A framework for decomposing shocks and measuring volatilities derived from multi-dimensional panel data of survey forecasts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Panel data; Shocks; Volatility; Multidimensional; Survey of Professional Forecasters; Inflation; Rationality; Error measures; Evaluating forecasts; Inflation forecasting; Volatility forecasting
Value Line and I/B/E/S earnings forecasts
Keywords: ارزیابی پیش بینی ها; Combining forecasts; Earnings forecasting; Financial analysts; Evaluating forecasts; Timely composites; Rationality;