کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
2408685 | 1551787 | 2006 | 4 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Estimation of the reproductive number of the Spanish flu epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
ایمنی شناسی و میکروب شناسی
ایمونولوژی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
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چکیده انگلیسی
The 1918 influenza pandemic known as the “Spanish Flu” has been the worst in recent history with estimated worldwide mortality ranging from 20 to 100 million deaths. Using epidemic modeling and hospital notification data during the 1918 influenza pandemic in the Canton of Geneva, Switzerland, we estimated the reproductive numbers of the first and second waves of influenza infection to be R1 = 1.49 (95% CI: 1.45–1.53) and R2 = 3.75 (95% CI: 3.57–3.93), respectively. Our estimates indicate that containment of the next influenza pandemic could require strict interventions that include effective isolation strategies in hospitals and reductions in the susceptibility of the general population.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Vaccine - Volume 24, Issues 44–46, 10 November 2006, Pages 6747–6750
Journal: Vaccine - Volume 24, Issues 44–46, 10 November 2006, Pages 6747–6750
نویسندگان
G. Chowell, C.E. Ammon, N.W. Hengartner, J.M. Hyman,